Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.071986 0.084393 0.098245 0.114852 0.134218 0.156086 0.182654
2026-01-04 0.055928 0.072031 0.091709 0.117505 0.150420 0.191011 0.244883
2026-01-11 0.044380 0.062139 0.085649 0.119007 0.165090 0.226502 0.314592
2026-01-18 0.035396 0.053482 0.079233 0.118491 0.176776 0.260087 0.388267
2026-01-25 0.027795 0.045049 0.071318 0.114099 0.181946 0.285343 0.454944
2026-02-01 0.021930 0.037931 0.063849 0.108711 0.184321 0.306542 0.519162
2026-02-08 0.018039 0.033138 0.059039 0.106473 0.191031 0.335338 0.600334
2026-02-15 0.014884 0.028931 0.054353 0.103429 0.195615 0.361090 0.680632
2026-02-22 0.012904 0.026438 0.052188 0.104394 0.207347 0.401014 0.792844
2026-03-01 0.011091 0.023887 0.049413 0.103620 0.215545 0.435595 0.900791
2026-03-08 0.009319 0.021052 0.045540 0.099897 0.217152 0.457580 0.987528
2026-03-15 0.008124 0.019202 0.043330 0.099177 0.224724 0.492551 1.106554
2026-03-22 0.007331 0.018164 0.042832 0.102469 0.242409 0.553460 1.296204
2026-03-29 0.006669 0.017301 0.042582 0.106344 0.262328 0.623131 1.519366
2026-04-05 0.005996 0.016267 0.041746 0.108709 0.279301 0.689460 1.748102
2026-04-12 0.005299 0.015019 0.040146 0.108894 0.291080 0.745911 1.964386
2026-04-19 0.004529 0.013402 0.037287 0.105267 0.292521 0.777548 2.125122
2026-04-26 0.003836 0.011841 0.034254 0.100548 0.290166 0.799225 2.264523
2026-05-03 0.003354 0.010778 0.032371 0.098641 0.295156 0.841139 2.466849
2026-05-10 0.002914 0.009742 0.030352 0.095923 0.297323 0.875864 2.656188
2026-05-17 0.002643 0.009178 0.029610 0.096887 0.310570 0.944192 2.956037
2026-05-24 0.002362 0.008511 0.028418 0.096214 0.318732 0.999398 3.227883
2026-05-31 0.002051 0.007669 0.026493 0.092781 0.317537 1.026517 3.419086